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2024-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (136-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 36 3-10 2-9 0-0 2 7 1 0 8 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 34 5-13 2-4 7-8 9 3 0 0 19 - -
Myles Turner * 31 3-11 2-8 4-4 6 2 0 1 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 7-15 1-5 2-2 2 6 0 1 17 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 14 6-11 2-5 0-0 2 4 2 0 14 - -
Jarace Walker 24 2-2 1-1 4-6 7 0 2 1 9 - -
Obi Toppin 22 7-10 1-4 1-2 8 1 1 0 16 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 6-9 1-1 2-2 4 4 1 0 15 - -
Quenton Jackson 9 2-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Johnny Furphy 7 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Moses Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Enrique Freeman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristen Newton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 30 7-15 2-8 0-0 6 6 1 0 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 8-14 3-6 6-6 8 0 2 3 25 - -
Ja Morant * 26 6-13 2-7 5-6 2 8 1 1 19 - -
Jaylen Wells * 25 5-9 3-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Brandon Clarke * 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 8 - -
Santi Aldama 25 6-9 3-5 0-0 4 6 1 0 15 - -
Marcus Smart 23 4-8 1-3 7-8 1 6 1 0 16 - -
Jake LaRavia 21 4-6 0-1 3-6 3 5 1 1 11 - -
Luke Kennard 13 2-4 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 11 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Jay Huff 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Yuki Kawamura 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter