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2024-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - βœ—
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 βœ— (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - βœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (113-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 7-17 4-9 0-0 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 33 4-8 2-4 2-2 7 4 1 1 12 - -
Stephen Curry * 32 8-21 3-10 4-5 7 4 0 0 23 - -
Draymond Green * 30 5-8 2-5 1-1 2 7 2 1 13 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 3 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 18 4-12 0-3 4-6 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Buddy Hield 16 3-7 2-4 3-3 1 1 1 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney 16 4-4 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Lindy Waters III 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Gary Payton II 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Pat Spencer 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Kyle Anderson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Moses Moody 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 8-20 3-8 8-8 3 9 2 0 27 - -
Kevin Durant * 35 7-20 3-8 4-6 10 3 0 3 21 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 4-8 3-6 6-6 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Tyus Jones * 32 7-9 4-5 1-2 3 9 0 0 19 - -
Mason Plumlee * 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 - -
Oso Ighodaro 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 6 - -
Ryan Dunn 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 2 2 - -
Royce O'Neale 19 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
MontΓ© Morris 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 8 - -

* = starter