Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -19 (103-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 41 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 33 | 13-19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 39 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George * | 34 | 9-23 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Micah Potter * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 25 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Collier | 21 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter