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2024-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 79.2% 20.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - ✗
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 ✓ (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +20 (131-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 21 4-10 0-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Ausar Thompson * 20 1-5 0-1 1-4 4 4 1 0 3 - -
Jalen Duren * 20 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 1 6 - -
Malik Beasley * 20 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 10 - -
Jaden Ivey * 17 6-10 3-5 2-4 0 1 1 0 17 - -
Marcus Sasser 27 9-13 2-4 2-2 3 5 2 0 22 - -
Ronald Holland II 25 5-8 2-2 2-4 3 0 0 1 14 - -
Simone Fontecchio 21 7-9 3-5 1-1 2 1 0 1 18 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 21 1-4 0-2 2-2 7 2 0 1 4 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 14 1-5 1-3 4-4 7 1 1 0 7 - -
Cole Swider 9 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 31 9-12 1-2 0-1 7 4 3 0 19 - -
Jaylen Wells * 23 4-11 3-9 2-2 2 3 2 0 13 - -
Desmond Bane * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 7 7 1 0 2 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 5-16 0-7 2-3 6 2 2 1 12 - -
Brandon Clarke * 19 6-7 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 13 - -
Jake LaRavia 25 8-9 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 19 - -
Luke Kennard 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Santi Aldama 22 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Jay Huff 22 3-7 2-5 5-6 2 3 0 1 13 - -
Marcus Smart 20 8-12 7-11 2-2 4 5 3 0 25 - -
John Konchar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Yuki Kawamura 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter