Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -4 (94-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 11-22 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 7-12 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 25 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 20 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tidjane Salaün * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 37 | 8-19 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 36 | 11-35 | 7-20 | 3-5 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 22 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micić | 14 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter