Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -21 (109-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 39 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 13-20 | 4-7 | 7-11 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 31 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 17 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 39 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter