Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.0 | β (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -10 (119-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 11-28 | 6-13 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 32 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 28 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 35 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 12-20 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ | 27 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter