🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - ✓
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 ✓ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% - ✓
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +2 (102-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 36 12-26 3-8 4-5 14 7 1 1 31 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 7-19 1-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 17 - -
Davion Mitchell * 30 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 27 4-11 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 2 8 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 23 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Jamison Battle 21 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 9 - -
Chris Boucher 21 4-9 1-4 1-1 7 0 1 1 10 - -
Jamal Shead 17 3-9 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 14 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 5 0 0 9 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 3-10 1-4 5-6 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 36 10-13 2-4 3-6 5 8 1 0 25 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 34 3-6 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Malik Beasley * 32 4-16 3-14 3-4 2 5 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 4-7 0-0 5-8 12 4 0 4 13 - -
Isaiah Stewart 23 3-6 0-1 3-3 7 2 1 3 9 - -
Ausar Thompson 16 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Marcus Sasser 14 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Ronald Holland II 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Simone Fontecchio 8 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter