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2024-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 ✓ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% - ✓
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 15.7% 84.3% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +12 (115-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 38 4-9 2-5 7-8 6 4 1 2 17 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 31 7-15 1-4 2-4 14 3 1 2 17 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 5-10 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Kyshawn George * 28 4-8 2-4 5-6 5 5 0 0 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 25 5-13 1-4 4-4 1 5 1 0 15 - -
Corey Kispert 36 6-14 3-11 0-0 2 1 1 0 15 - -
Carlton Carrington 22 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 2 2 1 5 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 4 - -
Anthony Gill 6 2-2 1-1 0-1 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Jared Butler 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 39 4-12 1-6 7-8 6 4 0 0 16 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 7-18 5-11 2-2 4 9 2 0 21 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 7-14 2-3 6-6 6 6 1 0 22 - -
Myles Turner * 29 4-8 1-3 1-2 9 1 2 1 10 - -
Quenton Jackson * 21 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 6-10 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 12 - -
Jarace Walker 19 1-4 1-2 0-2 5 4 3 0 3 - -
Obi Toppin 15 5-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 11 - -
Moses Brown 12 6-8 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 1 15 - -
Johnny Furphy 11 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter