Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -25 (102-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 24 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell | 18 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 16 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maxwell Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Armel Traoré | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter