Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (104-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III * | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 9-21 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Tre Jones | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Zach Collins | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter