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2024-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% - ✗
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 ✗ (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 56.5% 43.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic +11 (111-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 31 7-12 4-9 0-0 1 4 1 0 18 - -
Tobias Harris * 28 3-9 0-3 2-3 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Jaden Ivey * 27 6-16 2-4 5-6 7 2 2 1 19 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 26 1-4 1-4 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 2-5 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Marcus Sasser 21 5-9 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Isaiah Stewart 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 5 7 - -
Simone Fontecchio 16 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Ronald Holland II 15 1-6 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 14 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Paul Reed 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Cole Swider 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alondes Williams 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 29 11-22 4-9 4-4 9 8 2 0 30 - -
Tristan da Silva * 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 3-6 1-4 1-1 0 2 1 2 8 - -
Goga Bitadze * 17 4-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 3 8 - -
Jalen Suggs * 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Anthony Black 31 3-8 1-3 4-4 1 5 2 0 11 - -
Moritz Wagner 27 7-11 1-4 3-4 7 5 1 0 18 - -
Jonathan Isaac 22 1-6 0-2 3-4 12 0 2 3 5 - -
Gary Harris 18 2-3 1-2 2-3 2 0 3 0 7 - -
Jett Howard 15 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Cole Anthony 10 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Caleb Houstan 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter