Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +23 (120-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 19 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 25 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 23 | 2-14 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| David Roddy | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Vít Krejčí | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 12-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 20 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 15 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 15 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Gui Santos | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter