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Portland Trail Blazers 99
@
Oklahoma City Thunder 109
2024-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - ✓
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 ✓ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 17.2% 82.8% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 38 3-10 3-7 5-5 6 1 2 0 14 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 37 6-16 4-8 5-6 4 2 0 0 21 - -
Toumani Camara * 37 5-11 2-7 2-2 9 2 0 1 14 - -
Scoot Henderson * 26 3-8 1-4 2-2 3 8 0 0 9 - -
Donovan Clingan * 21 4-7 1-1 1-4 9 0 2 2 10 - -
Dalano Banton 25 3-11 3-8 1-2 4 2 0 3 10 - -
Robert Williams III 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 4 - -
Deni Avdija 23 4-10 1-3 4-7 6 1 1 1 13 - -
Kris Murray 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 38 7-19 0-2 14-14 5 4 3 1 28 - -
Jalen Williams * 35 11-19 5-9 3-3 7 8 2 2 30 - -
Luguentz Dort * 29 0-7 0-6 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Cason Wallace * 26 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 28 6-12 0-0 1-2 14 3 0 4 13 - -
Ajay Mitchell 22 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Alex Caruso 15 8-11 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 17 - -
Dillon Jones 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Ousmane Dieng 10 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 2 0 0 - -
Kenrich Williams 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Adam Flagler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter