Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +17 (130-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson * | 26 | 10-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 13 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Enrique Freeman | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 28 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 21 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter