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2024-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - βœ—
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 βœ— (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% - βœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (108-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 39 6-14 2-5 0-0 8 4 0 4 14 - -
Trae Young * 35 1-7 0-2 5-5 3 19 2 0 7 - -
Garrison Mathews * 28 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 4 2 0 9 - -
Clint Capela * 28 6-9 0-0 2-4 14 1 0 1 14 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 26 6-11 3-5 3-4 3 2 2 1 18 - -
De'Andre Hunter 24 9-15 4-8 2-2 2 1 0 1 24 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 3-5 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović 18 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Kobe Bufkin 12 1-7 1-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
David Roddy 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 39 4-15 1-10 0-0 5 3 3 0 9 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 39 11-23 3-6 3-4 5 7 1 0 28 - -
Trey Lyles * 37 4-11 3-7 1-2 10 4 1 0 12 - -
Keegan Murray * 22 3-9 1-3 0-0 7 1 2 0 7 - -
Alex Len * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 3 2 - -
Keon Ellis 33 9-17 9-15 6-7 6 1 1 1 33 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 19 2-3 1-1 3-4 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Doug McDermott 18 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Orlando Robinson 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 - -
Colby Jones 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter