Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (130-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 38 | 5-18 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 32 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Enrique Freeman * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 31 | 8-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tristen Newton | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 37 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 35 | 13-21 | 4-8 | 9-12 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter