Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (106-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCain * | 36 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Paul George * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 14 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Ricky Council IV | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Adem Bona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 13-13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 34 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 31 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - | |
| Dru Smith | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 18 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter