Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 (119-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 13-19 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 36 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 24 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 15 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter