Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | β (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | β |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (105-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 24 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 23 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 26 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. * | 25 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 19 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Colin Castleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuki Kawamura | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter