Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | β (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +17 (110-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 26 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 20 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 28 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 18 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 18 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter