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2024-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% - βœ“
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 βœ“ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 19.4% 80.6% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (126-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 42 10-27 1-3 4-9 10 15 1 1 25 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 39 5-13 3-8 0-0 6 3 0 1 13 - -
Jakob PΓΆltl * 37 16-19 0-0 3-4 12 0 1 0 35 - -
Gradey Dick * 37 3-12 1-5 2-2 2 5 0 0 9 - -
Davion Mitchell * 32 4-5 1-2 1-1 3 5 1 0 10 - -
Jamal Shead 20 3-9 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 19 5-6 2-3 3-3 5 0 0 0 15 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Jamison Battle 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 42 8-16 2-7 9-10 6 7 0 1 27 - -
Jayson Tatum * 41 7-19 5-12 5-5 11 9 0 0 24 - -
Derrick White * 41 7-20 3-12 1-2 5 4 0 2 18 - -
Neemias Queta * 33 6-8 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 1 12 - -
Al Horford * 31 6-11 5-10 1-1 4 2 1 1 18 - -
Sam Hauser 25 5-12 3-10 1-1 0 1 0 1 14 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Walsh 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter