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2024-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +23 (127-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 31 6-16 1-4 5-6 3 5 2 0 18 - -
Tyus Jones * 31 3-11 2-9 2-2 2 8 0 0 10 - -
Ryan Dunn * 27 4-11 2-7 0-2 3 1 1 2 10 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 21 1-7 0-3 1-2 11 1 3 0 3 - -
Royce O'Neale * 21 2-12 1-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 28 10-15 3-4 2-3 8 1 2 0 25 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 16 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Oso Ighodaro 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 4 - -
Monté Morris 13 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Mason Plumlee 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -
Damion Lee 10 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Bol Bol 5 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Bridges 5 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 36 9-16 2-6 2-5 6 5 3 0 22 - -
Keegan Murray * 33 7-11 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 31 11-17 1-2 6-8 6 10 2 1 29 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 3-4 3-3 2-2 10 9 0 1 11 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 2 - -
Keon Ellis 25 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 9 - -
Trey Lyles 22 5-7 3-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Doug McDermott 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 14 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 11 - -
Alex Len 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Mason Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Jones 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Colby Jones 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter