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2024-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 ✗ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✗
Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (128-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 10-20 2-7 7-8 7 1 2 1 29 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 31 6-14 1-2 2-2 3 3 3 1 15 - -
Santi Aldama * 29 6-14 2-7 1-2 7 5 3 1 15 - -
Jaylen Wells * 27 4-8 0-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Jay Huff * 12 3-8 0-4 0-2 3 0 1 1 6 - -
Luke Kennard 26 4-7 4-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 12 - -
Zach Edey 25 3-8 0-0 6-6 8 1 1 1 12 - -
Marcus Smart 22 3-5 2-4 7-8 2 6 1 1 15 - -
Jake LaRavia 20 3-4 1-1 3-4 3 4 0 0 10 - -
John Konchar 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 13-22 4-7 5-8 12 14 1 0 35 - -
Rui Hachimura * 35 6-7 3-4 4-5 7 3 1 1 19 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 5-14 3-11 5-7 2 6 1 0 18 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 6-16 2-3 7-8 14 3 0 3 21 - -
Cam Reddish * 22 1-1 1-1 1-4 2 0 2 1 4 - -
Dalton Knecht 31 7-8 5-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 19 - -
D'Angelo Russell 20 3-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Christian Koloko 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Gabe Vincent 12 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter