Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (139-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 33 | 15-22 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Carlton Carrington * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alexandre Sarr * | 25 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 33 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyshawn George | 32 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 22 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 33 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 18-29 | 8-16 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 50 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 24 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter