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2024-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - ✗
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 ✗ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (127-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 44 4-15 2-5 0-0 8 5 1 2 10 - -
Malik Beasley * 44 9-17 8-16 0-0 10 4 0 0 26 - -
Cade Cunningham * 43 13-34 5-10 4-4 7 11 2 3 35 - -
Jalen Duren * 36 3-4 0-0 3-4 9 6 0 0 9 - -
Ronald Holland II * 28 5-10 0-2 1-3 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Marcus Sasser 24 4-6 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 1 11 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 23 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Isaiah Stewart 14 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Paul Reed 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 44 6-16 3-8 0-0 10 3 0 0 15 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 43 21-34 1-2 16-17 14 7 2 3 59 - -
Brook Lopez * 40 9-17 5-8 6-8 8 0 3 5 29 - -
Delon Wright * 26 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 8 2 0 0 - -
AJ Green * 20 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 34 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 11 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 30 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 - -

* = starter