Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 39 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Enrique Freeman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Suggs * | 37 | 2-15 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 36 | 9-24 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter