Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +20 (116-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 13-22 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 34 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 26 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 21 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter