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2024-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% -
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 23.4% 76.6% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% -
Points Off/Def 13.7% 86.3% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +15 (107-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 35 5-9 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 1 11 - -
Jordan Poole * 33 5-14 1-5 0-0 5 6 4 0 11 - -
Carlton Carrington * 30 3-6 2-2 2-2 2 6 4 2 10 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 27 2-9 0-3 1-4 6 1 0 2 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 7-18 3-8 1-1 4 0 1 0 18 - -
Corey Kispert 33 5-12 2-7 0-0 1 1 3 0 12 - -
Kyshawn George 24 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 16 4-7 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 10 - -
Jared Butler 4 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Johnny Davis 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Marvin Bagley III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 36 6-15 1-6 5-5 4 2 2 0 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 4-12 0-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 8 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 32 2-10 1-7 6-6 9 0 0 1 11 - -
Alperen Sengun * 31 12-19 1-1 2-2 17 3 0 3 27 - -
Amen Thompson * 28 4-8 0-1 5-8 8 1 4 4 13 - -
Tari Eason 26 5-10 0-2 0-0 6 2 3 2 10 - -
Reed Sheppard 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Aaron Holiday 16 3-5 1-3 4-4 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Steven Adams 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jack McVeigh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter