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2024-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (118-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 42 14-25 1-1 5-6 3 3 1 0 34 - -
Keegan Murray * 42 5-11 2-6 2-2 14 1 0 0 14 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 40 10-23 0-6 1-1 11 8 0 0 21 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 9-14 0-3 2-3 12 5 0 0 20 - -
Kevin Huerter * 34 6-12 5-9 0-0 7 4 3 1 17 - -
Keon Ellis 28 2-3 1-2 1-1 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Trey Lyles 17 2-6 1-4 3-4 6 0 0 1 8 - -
Doug McDermott 10 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Malik Monk 7 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 43 9-22 3-10 2-2 1 12 2 0 23 - -
Tyus Jones * 40 8-14 6-10 0-0 2 4 2 0 22 - -
Bradley Beal * 38 9-18 3-10 7-9 8 2 1 1 28 - -
Ryan Dunn * 21 4-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 - -
Royce O'Neale 28 3-14 2-7 0-0 9 2 1 1 8 - -
Grayson Allen 26 3-13 3-11 0-0 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Mason Plumlee 25 2-2 0-0 2-3 11 6 1 0 6 - -
Josh Okogie 15 4-7 1-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 9 - -
Oso Ighodaro 10 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter