Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | β (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (122-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 9-19 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 17-22 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 18 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 39 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 38 | 13-21 | 3-3 | 8-8 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 19 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter