Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -11 (116-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 13-23 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 26 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 26 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 30 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter