Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -1 (94-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 23 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 17 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 8-24 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 25 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 22 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - |
* = starter