Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | -6.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (107-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 40 | 7-21 | 4-12 | 13-15 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 22 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 12 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 39 | 18-29 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 43 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 38 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 26 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter