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2024-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% -
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (99-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 37 3-13 1-7 0-2 7 7 3 1 7 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 6-15 2-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Green * 33 6-17 1-6 2-2 5 3 2 1 15 - -
Alperen Sengun * 30 11-17 0-0 5-7 10 2 0 1 27 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 26 2-8 0-4 2-2 7 0 1 1 6 - -
Tari Eason 27 7-12 2-4 2-3 9 1 1 1 18 - -
Amen Thompson 22 2-5 0-1 4-4 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Jock Landale 16 0-3 0-1 3-4 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Reed Sheppard 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 10-21 2-4 4-6 8 9 0 1 26 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 3-5 1-2 2-5 8 1 3 2 9 - -
Jaden Ivey * 34 4-15 0-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 33 7-9 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 2 16 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 29 3-10 2-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Malik Beasley 27 5-12 4-9 1-2 2 3 1 0 15 - -
Simone Fontecchio 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Paul Reed 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Ronald Holland II 13 1-6 1-6 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter