Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +19 (126-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 24 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jack McVeigh | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 29 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 23 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 19 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 11 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malevy Leons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter