Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | β (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jusuf NurkiΔ * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 29 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 42 | 11-25 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 40 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter