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2024-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +19 (136-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 23 5-10 1-4 1-1 1 2 2 0 12 - -
Draymond Green * 20 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 6 3 0 6 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 20 4-9 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 16 1-3 0-0 1-1 5 4 0 1 3 - -
Gary Payton II * 9 4-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 29 7-14 3-7 4-6 5 5 2 1 21 - -
Brandin Podziemski 26 6-12 1-6 1-2 7 4 4 0 14 - -
Buddy Hield 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Moses Moody 16 5-10 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney 15 4-6 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 0 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Gui Santos 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Lindy Waters III 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 30 5-7 0-0 3-5 12 3 0 1 13 - -
Darius Garland * 30 9-17 6-11 3-4 3 6 3 0 27 - -
Evan Mobley * 26 7-12 0-3 9-10 4 4 1 2 23 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 26 4-13 2-7 2-2 5 4 0 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 26 6-10 4-6 0-0 1 4 0 1 16 - -
Caris LeVert 21 2-5 2-3 2-2 7 4 3 1 8 - -
Ty Jerome 21 7-8 3-3 3-3 1 3 0 0 20 - -
Dean Wade 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 2 3 - -
Sam Merrill 14 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Georges Niang 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaylon Tyson 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter