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2024-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - ✓
Margin 21.9% 78.1% +7.0 ✓ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (122-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 41 11-25 6-12 7-8 2 13 2 0 35 - -
Dyson Daniels * 38 7-17 2-6 2-2 3 2 7 2 18 - -
Jalen Johnson * 37 8-19 2-6 2-2 9 1 0 1 20 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 25 2-7 0-3 3-4 5 3 0 1 7 - -
Clint Capela * 18 3-10 0-0 1-4 12 2 0 0 7 - -
Garrison Mathews 27 2-5 1-4 3-3 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 8 - -
David Roddy 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 12 5-5 3-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Keaton Wallace 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 8-17 1-4 5-5 11 13 1 1 22 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 32 5-8 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 1 10 - -
Tobias Harris * 30 7-13 5-8 3-4 6 2 0 3 22 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 29 2-4 1-2 2-4 5 4 3 0 7 - -
Jaden Ivey * 29 7-13 1-4 3-7 3 3 1 3 18 - -
Malik Beasley 33 8-14 3-9 3-5 2 1 0 0 22 - -
Simone Fontecchio 19 3-6 1-4 4-5 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Paul Reed 15 2-6 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Ronald Holland II 13 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter