Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (118-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 32 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 30 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 20 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 20 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 16 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 22 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter