Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +15 (122-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Pöltl * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 24 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 15 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 12 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 36 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 21 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Alex Len | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Colby Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter