Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (124-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 11-20 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 25 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 41 | 7-16 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 39 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 27 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter