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2024-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% - βœ“
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 βœ“ (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 43.3% 56.7% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - βœ“

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +20 (119-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 28 3-13 1-7 1-2 1 5 1 0 8 - -
Josh Giddey * 27 3-9 1-3 3-4 3 6 1 0 10 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 24 2-13 2-10 0-0 5 4 0 0 6 - -
Nikola VučeviΔ‡ * 24 7-10 0-2 0-0 10 3 1 0 14 - -
Patrick Williams * 23 2-4 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Dalen Terry 23 3-7 1-3 3-4 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Matas Buzelis 22 4-9 3-4 2-2 9 0 2 1 13 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 4-7 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 1 8 - -
Julian Phillips 15 4-5 0-1 0-3 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Jalen Smith 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 - -
Chris Duarte 7 1-2 1-2 4-6 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Torrey Craig 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 32 8-19 3-8 8-9 7 13 4 0 27 - -
Kyrie Irving * 27 7-11 1-3 2-2 6 2 3 0 17 - -
Klay Thompson * 24 5-10 3-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 23 7-9 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 3 17 - -
Naji Marshall * 21 4-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 22 1-8 0-6 1-2 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 19 3-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Powell 19 1-1 0-0 3-4 5 3 2 1 5 - -
Quentin Grimes 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Jaden Hardy 13 4-10 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Brandon Williams 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Kessler Edwards 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Markieff Morris 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Jazian Gortman 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter