🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (131-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 15-24 6-11 3-4 7 6 1 0 39 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 34 3-6 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 0 8 - -
Austin Reaves * 34 7-17 2-9 3-4 3 5 3 0 19 - -
Dalton Knecht * 26 1-7 1-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 21 4-12 2-9 2-2 1 3 2 0 12 - -
Cam Reddish 25 5-7 2-2 3-4 6 2 2 0 15 - -
Gabe Vincent 23 2-8 1-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Max Christie 19 3-8 1-2 1-1 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Christian Koloko 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Bronny James 4 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 32 8-13 1-4 3-3 6 1 0 3 20 - -
Santi Aldama * 31 4-10 1-5 2-2 12 3 1 0 11 - -
Jaylen Wells * 28 7-10 5-7 1-2 3 1 1 0 20 - -
Ja Morant * 24 7-17 2-3 4-5 4 5 1 1 20 - -
Zach Edey * 14 3-5 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 8 - -
Jake LaRavia 28 6-11 1-3 0-1 5 8 1 0 13 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 25 5-9 3-4 1-2 6 4 1 1 14 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kennard 18 2-4 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Jay Huff 13 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 4 0 1 11 - -
Colin Castleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Yuki Kawamura 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter