Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +27 (127-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 24 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Riley Minix | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Harrison Ingram | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 25 | 10-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 24 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 21 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jack McVeigh | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter