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2024-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 8-17 4-9 7-7 7 9 4 1 27 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 6-14 0-3 4-6 2 0 0 0 16 - -
Draymond Green * 30 2-8 0-4 5-6 6 4 0 0 9 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Moses Moody * 13 3-5 1-2 2-2 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Buddy Hield 28 6-11 4-7 0-0 6 1 0 1 16 - -
Kyle Anderson 19 3-9 3-4 2-2 5 4 0 1 11 - -
Gary Payton II 18 3-4 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 2 6 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 17 4-10 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Kevon Looney 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 6 - -
Lindy Waters III 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 36 8-19 7-16 3-3 6 3 2 0 26 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 10-20 5-10 7-9 4 2 1 1 32 - -
Jrue Holiday * 32 3-11 0-6 0-0 9 8 0 0 6 - -
Al Horford * 29 4-9 2-6 0-0 7 3 2 0 10 - -
Neemias Queta * 28 6-11 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 2 14 - -
Payton Pritchard 32 5-13 3-11 3-3 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Sam Hauser 21 2-5 2-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Walsh 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter