Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (118-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 39 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 13-14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 23 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter