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2024-11-05

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 ✓ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julian Champagnie * 38 7-12 5-10 2-3 5 2 0 0 21 - -
Harrison Barnes * 37 1-4 0-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 4 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 34 9-22 2-9 4-4 13 3 3 9 24 - -
Chris Paul * 33 6-11 2-7 0-0 6 10 2 0 14 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Keldon Johnson 28 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Stephon Castle 19 4-10 0-3 3-4 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Malaki Branham 17 2-7 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 7 - -
Zach Collins 13 0-5 0-3 4-4 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 4 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivica Zubac * 36 6-17 0-0 5-5 13 4 0 0 17 - -
Norman Powell * 34 7-15 5-8 4-5 1 3 3 0 23 - -
James Harden * 33 6-10 3-5 2-4 8 4 1 3 17 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 21 4-10 2-6 0-1 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Terance Mann * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Amir Coffey 25 8-10 5-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 21 - -
Kris Dunn 25 4-9 2-5 1-2 3 1 0 2 11 - -
Nicolas Batum 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 19 3-10 0-2 0-0 8 7 1 0 6 - -
Kai Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter