Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (121-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gradey Dick * | 35 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 5-21 | 2-11 | 4-5 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Jakob Pöltl * | 32 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 36 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter