Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | β (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (127-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 10-16 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 10-17 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 42 | 9-24 | 4-10 | 12-15 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 33 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter